Fantasy baseball trade...Price/Maybin for Wainwright/Hunter?

Price will be lucky to keep his 2009 ERA under 5.00 when you consider he's moving from the bullpen to the rotation.

It's virtually impossible to predict how much of an impact Maybin will have in fantasy in 2009, much like it's impossible to predict how his team will fare in the NL East in 2009.

If Wainwright can stay away from the DL, he's a lock for 15+ wins with an ERA hovering around 3.00 and a decent WHIP. That kind of production is much better than even the best-case scenario for Price in 2009.

Hunter is among the few players who is capable of contributing to all 5 standard hitter categories (runs, HRs, RBIs, SBs, and batting average). Maybin might reach that level as early as 2010, but he won't in 2009.

In 2009, the player getting Wainwright and Hunter is getting the better end of the deal. In 2010, the deal might end up being a fair one. In 2011, it's possible that the player getting Price and Maybin is getting the better end of the deal (although I certainly don't want this to be the case if Price hasn't changed teams between now and then).

I'm guessing this isn't a keeper league. Player #1 gets the better return. In 1 year formats, it is generally better to trust proven track records. That said, I also really don't see Maybin offering much. Nor do I see Price pitching more than 150 innings.

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